Price
$6.03
9.28 gems
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $5.43 from 17 items
Observed RTP, 30d
84.27%
7,125 openings, odds method
Variance
29.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
11.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
89.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7,191 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $6.03 | 89.99% | 17 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.5%epic 0.1%legendary 0.1%extraordinary 0.1%gold 0.1%sunny 0.2%Rare 30.0%classified 15.0%mil spec 20.0%restricted 34.0%best hit $1,336 (221.4x)