4headed-megaways

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 10 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$427.19
657 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
67.39%
6 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
6 openings · below min
30 days
6 openings · below min
since tracking started
6 openings · below min
-0.5%77.3%155.0%

Small sample. 6 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d667.39%±87.0—sample
30d667.39%±87.0—sample
All667.39%±87.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Butterfly Knife | Stained (Factory New)knife · gold$427657 gems$6531,004 gems1.53x

Latest dropsnewest first

★ Butterfly Knife | Stained (Factory New)knife · gold$427657 gems$6531,004 gems1.53x
Sticker | Tamarasticker · High Grade$427657 gems$0.470.73 gems0.00x
Sticker | Tamarasticker · High Grade$427657 gems$0.470.73 gems0.00x
Sticker | Tamarasticker · High Grade$427657 gems$0.470.73 gems0.00x
Sticker | Tamarasticker · High GradeHeaded$427657 gems$0.470.73 gems0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,073 (2.51x)