5% CASE
A case on Clash.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$16.25
25 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
57.19%
397 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 397 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander (Factory New)gloves · extraordinaryI'mACUNTⱭ͞ ̶̶͞ ̶͞͞ ̶͞͞ ̶͞͞ ̶͞͞ﻝﮞ$16.2525 gems$518797 gems31.90x
★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$16.2525 gems$518797 gems31.90x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $518 (31.90x)