Price
$8.01
12.32 gems
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $7.21 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.04%
19.4K openings, odds method
Variance
31.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 100
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 19.6K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Field-Tested)gloves · sunny | 1 in 200 | $510 784 gems | 35.4% | 98 | 97.8 | 1.00× |
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 200 | $307 473 gems | 21.3% | 95 | 97.8 | 0.97× |
| ★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 100 | $148 228 gems | 20.6% | 208 | 195.6 | 1.06× |
| ★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape (Minimal Wear)gloves · #ffd700 | 1 in 100 | $78.73 121 gems | 10.9% | 211 | 195.6 | 1.08× |
| ★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe (Battle-Scarred)gloves · sunny | 1 in 100 | $54.22 83.41 gems | 7.5% | 205 | 195.6 | 1.05× |
| ★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 100 | $30.12 46.34 gems | 4.2% | 189 | 195.6 | 0.97× |
| P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer | 95.0% | <$0.01 0.01 gems | 0.1% | 18,554 | 18582.0 | 1.00× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $8.01 | 89.99% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedsunny 1.5%extraordinary 2.5%#ffd700 1.0%consumer 95.0%best hit $510 (63.63x)