5% Juicer
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$965.50
1,485 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $868.94 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
102.39%
479 openings, odds method
Variance
20.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 50
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 485 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Titan (Holo) | Katowice (2014)other | 1 in 100 | $32.5K 50,000 gems | 37.4% | 6 | 4.8 | 1.24× |
| Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice (2014)other | 1 in 100 | $26K 40,000 gems | 29.9% | 7 | 4.8 | 1.44× |
| Team LDLC (Holo) | Katowice (2014)other | 1 in 100 | $13K 20,000 gems | 15.0% | 2 | 4.8 | 0.41× |
| AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 100 | $8,936 13,748 gems | 10.3% | 5 | 4.8 | 1.03× |
| AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New)weapon · legendary | 1 in 100 | $6,440 9,907 gems | 7.4% | 4 | 4.8 | 0.82× |
| AWP | Acheron (Factory New)weapon · Rare | 23.0% | $0.53 0.81 gems | 0.0% | 116 | 111.5 | 1.04× |
| P250 | Exchanger (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec | 24.0% | $0.23 0.35 gems | 0.0% | 135 | 116.4 | 1.16× |
| G3SG1 | Hunter (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue | 24.0% | $0.07 0.11 gems | 0.0% | 96 | 116.4 | 0.82× |
| P250 | Sand Dune (Factory New)weapon · consumer | 24.0% | $0.02 0.03 gems | 0.0% | 114 | 116.4 | 0.98× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $965 | 90.00% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 3.0%covert 1.0%legendary 1.0%Rare 23.0%milspec 24.0%blue 24.0%consumer 24.0%best hit $32.5K (33.66x)