Akimbo
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$9.11
14.01 gems
Advertised RTP
89.97%
EV $8.19 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.24%
2,112 openings, odds method
Variance
5.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 13
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
84.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,131 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Souvenir Dual Berettas | Twin Turbo (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · classified | 1 in 100 | $130 200 gems | 15.9% | 27 | 21.3 | 1.27× |
| Dual Berettas | Duelist (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 50 | $117 180 gems | 28.6% | 31 | 42.6 | 0.73× |
| Dual Berettas | Cobra Strike (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 20 | $30.67 47.18 gems | 18.7% | 104 | 106.6 | 0.98× |
| Dual Berettas | Emerald (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 13 | $20.75 31.93 gems | 19.0% | 177 | 159.8 | 1.11× |
| Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 10.0% | $6.88 10.59 gems | 8.4% | 206 | 213.1 | 0.97× |
| Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Battle-Scarred)weapon · uncommon | 15.0% | $3.48 5.35 gems | 6.4% | 294 | 319.6 | 0.92× |
| Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Field-Tested)weapon · pink | 15.0% | $0.90 1.39 gems | 1.7% | 314 | 319.6 | 0.98× |
| Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical | 20.0% | $0.50 0.77 gems | 1.2% | 443 | 426.2 | 1.04× |
| Dual Berettas | Cobalt Quartz (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff | 24.5% | $0.07 0.11 gems | 0.2% | 535 | 522.1 | 1.02× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Battle-Scarred)weapon · uncommon$9.1114.01 gems$3.485.35 gems0.38x
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Battle-Scarred)weapon · uncommon$9.1114.01 gems$3.485.35 gems0.38x
Dual Berettas | Cobalt Quartz (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ffElizabeth$9.1114.01 gems$0.070.11 gems0.01x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.97%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $9.11 | 89.97% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 6.0%restricted 12.0%mil spec 7.5%uncommon 15.0%pink 15.0%Mythical 20.0%#8847ff 24.5%best hit —