Price
$31.08
47.81 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
59.60%
282 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 282 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)knife · covert knife$31.0847.81 gems$602927 gems19.38x
★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)knife · covert knife$31.0847.81 gems$602927 gems19.38x
Latest dropsnewest first
MP5-SD | Liquidation (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspeckick.com/alynnushgambles$31.0847.81 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$31.0847.81 gems$425653 gems13.67x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $602 (19.38x)