Angry Easter Bunny
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$23.26
35.78 gems
Advertised RTP
89.98%
EV $20.93 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
97.97%
201 openings, odds method
Variance
2.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
15.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
55.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 201 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AWP | Oni Taiji (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 1 in 100 | $317 488 gems | 15.2% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.49× |
| AK-47 | Nightwish (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 25 | $95.93 148 gems | 18.3% | 8 | 8.0 | 1.00× |
| M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New)weapon · covert | 10.0% | $40.05 61.61 gems | 19.1% | 22 | 20.1 | 1.09× |
| USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New)weapon · covert | 15.0% | $37.71 58.01 gems | 27.0% | 28 | 30.1 | 0.93× |
| P250 | Splash (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 15.0% | $25.03 38.51 gems | 17.9% | 33 | 30.1 | 1.09× |
| Sticker | Nest Eggsticker · Rare | 25.0% | $0.97 1.49 gems | 1.2% | 47 | 50.2 | 0.94× |
| P250 | Nevermore (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 30.0% | $0.87 1.34 gems | 1.2% | 60 | 60.3 | 1.00× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.98%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $23.26 | 89.98% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 30.0%restricted 45.0%Rare 25.0%best hit —