Price
$17.13
26.36 gems
Advertised RTP
89.98%
EV $15.42 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
79.29%
2,579 openings, odds method
Variance
13.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 50
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
93.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,617 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Moto Gloves | Turtle (Factory New)gloves · extraordinaryxCK97x On Kick | CODE : CK97$17.1326.36 gems$567872 gems33.07x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.98%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $17.13 | 89.98% | 14 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 3.5%covert 10.5%rare 1.0%covert knife 1.0%gold 1.0%Legendary 5.0%restricted 43.0%blue 10.0%Rare 25.0%best hit $567 (33.07x)