Anubis

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$17.13
26.36 gems
Advertised RTP
89.98%
EV $15.42 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
79.29%
2,579 openings, odds method
Variance
13.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 50
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
93.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
82.47%±44.58266 openings
7 days
80.76%±15.672,152 openings
30 days
79.29%±14.322,579 openings
since tracking started
79.29%±14.322,579 openings
37.0%82.3%127.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h26682.47%±44.6−0.3σodds
7d2,15280.76%±15.7−1.2σodds
30d2,57979.29%±14.3−1.5σodds
All2,57979.29%±14.3−1.5σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,617 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Moto Gloves | Turtle (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary1 in 200$567 872 gems18.4%1313.10.99×
★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 200$560 861 gems18.1%713.10.53×
★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary1 in 100$246 378 gems15.9%1626.20.61×
AWP | Green Energy (Factory New)weapon · rare1 in 100$148 228 gems9.6%2526.20.96×
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 100$101 156 gems6.6%3026.21.15×
★ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 100$85.79 132 gems5.6%3126.21.18×
★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald (Minimal Wear)gloves · gold1 in 100$72.67 112 gems4.7%2026.20.76×
★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 100$66.67 103 gems4.3%3326.21.26×
AK-47 | The Outsiders (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary1 in 20$7.46 11.48 gems2.4%141130.81.08×
P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert10.0%$4.69 7.22 gems3.0%273261.71.04×
AWP | Atheris (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted10.0%$3.85 5.92 gems2.5%257261.70.98×
AK-47 | Wintergreen (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue10.0%$3.80 5.85 gems2.5%253261.70.97×
USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare25.0%$2.11 3.25 gems3.4%681654.31.04×
M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New)weapon · restricted33.0%$1.36 2.09 gems2.9%837863.60.97×
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New)weapon · restricted$17.1326.36 gems$1.362.09 gems0.08x
AWP | Atheris (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$17.1326.36 gems$3.855.92 gems0.22x
AK-47 | Wintergreen (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue$17.1326.36 gems$3.805.85 gems0.22x
AK-47 | Wintergreen (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue$17.1326.36 gems$3.805.85 gems0.22x
M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New)weapon · restricted$17.1326.36 gems$1.362.09 gems0.08x
AK-47 | Wintergreen (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue$17.1326.36 gems$3.805.85 gems0.22x
M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New)weapon · restricted$17.1326.36 gems$1.362.09 gems0.08x
USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare$17.1326.36 gems$2.113.25 gems0.12x
USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare$17.1326.36 gems$2.113.25 gems0.12x
AK-47 | Wintergreen (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue$17.1326.36 gems$3.805.85 gems0.22x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.98%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 01:59 UTC$17.1389.98%14
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedextraordinary 3.5%covert 10.5%rare 1.0%covert knife 1.0%gold 1.0%Legendary 5.0%restricted 43.0%blue 10.0%Rare 25.0%best hit $567 (33.07x)