As if
A case on Clash.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$1.97
3.03 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
140.81%
748 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 748 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · Covert$1.973.03 gems$116179 gems59.02x
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · Covert$1.973.03 gems$116179 gems59.02x
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · CovertFan4Haze$1.973.03 gems$116179 gems59.02x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $288 (146.4x)