Atlantis
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$4,628.85
7,121 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $4,165.92 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
26.34%
6 openings, odds method
Variance
4.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 6 openings and 0.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary | 10.0% | $34.1K 52,490 gems | 81.9% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| AWP | Gungnir (Factory New)weapon · covert | 10.0% | $6,003 9,235 gems | 14.4% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| ★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 20 | $1,238 1,905 gems | 1.5% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| ★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Factory New)knife · covert | 1 in 20 | $704 1,084 gems | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| ★ Karambit | Bright Water (Factory New)knife · covert | 1 in 20 | $473 727 gems | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 20 | $441 678 gems | 0.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| USP-S | Blueprint (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 60.0% | $18.38 28.28 gems | 0.3% | 4 | 3.6 | 1.11× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$4,6297,121 gems$1,2381,905 gems0.27x
Latest dropsnewest first
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $4,629 | 90.00% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 10.0%covert 25.0%extraordinary 5.0%mil spec 60.0%best hit $6,003 (1.30x)