Bananer
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$2.67
4.11 gems
Advertised RTP
89.97%
EV $2.40 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.51%
6,093 openings, odds method
Variance
30.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 31
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
92.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,166 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded (Factory New)gloves · legendary | 1 in 400 | $284 437 gems | 29.6% | 16 | 15.4 | 1.04× |
| XM1014 | Banana Leaf (Factory New)weapon · Industrial Grade | 1 in 33 | $19.86 30.55 gems | 24.8% | 201 | 185.0 | 1.09× |
| Sticker | Stupid Banana (Foil)sticker · exotic | 1 in 21 | $13.74 21.14 gems | 27.2% | 261 | 292.9 | 0.89× |
| Patch | Crazy Bananapatch · remarkable | 10.0% | $0.89 1.37 gems | 3.7% | 618 | 616.6 | 1.00× |
| Charm | That's Bananascharm · uncommon | 10.0% | $0.83 1.27 gems | 3.4% | 612 | 616.6 | 0.99× |
| R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff | 10.0% | $0.81 1.24 gems | 3.4% | 621 | 616.6 | 1.01× |
| Sticker | Bananasticker · #4b69ff | 10.0% | $0.48 0.74 gems | 2.0% | 609 | 616.6 | 0.99× |
| Sticker | CT in Bananasticker · Rare | 12.0% | $0.42 0.65 gems | 2.1% | 760 | 739.9 | 1.03× |
| Sticker | Fast Bananasticker · high | 20.0% | $0.25 0.38 gems | 2.1% | 1,245 | 1233.2 | 1.01× |
| Sealed Graffiti | Bananagraffiti · #4B69FF | 20.0% | $0.22 0.34 gems | 1.8% | 1,223 | 1233.2 | 0.99× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded (Factory New)gloves · legendary$2.674.11 gems$284437 gems106.4x
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded (Factory New)gloves · legendarySleepy Python$2.674.11 gems$284437 gems106.4x
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded (Factory New)gloves · legendary$2.674.11 gems$284437 gems106.4x
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded (Factory New)gloves · legendary$2.674.11 gems$284437 gems106.4x
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded (Factory New)gloves · legendarySrci$2.674.11 gems$284437 gems106.4x
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded (Factory New)gloves · legendary$2.674.11 gems$284437 gems106.4x
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded (Factory New)gloves · legendaryHector$2.674.11 gems$284437 gems106.4x
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded (Factory New)gloves · legendary$2.674.11 gems$284437 gems106.4x
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded (Factory New)gloves · legendary$2.674.11 gems$284437 gems106.4x
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded (Factory New)gloves · legendary$2.674.11 gems$284437 gems106.4x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.97%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $2.67 | 89.97% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 0.3%Industrial Grade 3.0%exotic 4.8%remarkable 10.0%uncommon 10.0%#8847ff 10.0%#4b69ff 10.0%Rare 12.0%high 20.0%#4B69FF 20.0%best hit $284 (106.4x)