Banshee

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price

$32.60

50.16 gems

Advertised RTP

89.99%

EV $29.34 from 11 items

Observed RTP, 30d

93.02%

1,636 openings, odds method

Variance

8.8×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 33

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

80.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

134 openings · below min

7 days

97.03%±15.971,330 openings

30 days

93.02%±14.401,636 openings

since tracking started

93.02%±14.401,636 openings

67.0%118.0%169.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	134	118.03%±50.3	—	odds
7d	1,330	97.03%±16.0	+0.9σ	odds
30d	1,636	93.02%±14.4	+0.4σ	odds
All	1,636	93.02%±14.4	+0.4σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,656 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 33	$568 874 gems	58.1%	52	49.7	1.05×
AK-47 \| Nightwish (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 14	$59.62 91.72 gems	14.2%	120	115.9	1.04×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	10.0%	$55.74 85.75 gems	19.0%	167	165.6	1.01×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	1 in 20	$14.82 22.8 gems	2.5%	73	82.8	0.88×
MP7 \| Skulls (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue	1 in 25	$8.96 13.78 gems	1.2%	53	66.2	0.80×
StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 25	$7.64 11.75 gems	1.0%	59	66.2	0.89×
AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 25	$5.39 8.29 gems	0.7%	66	66.2	1.00×
MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Factory New)weapon · Legendary	10.0%	$4.95 7.61 gems	1.7%	176	165.6	1.06×
StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Ghost Crusader (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	14.0%	$1.92 2.96 gems	0.9%	229	231.8	0.99×
SG 553 \| Phantom (Factory New)weapon · violet	19.0%	$0.57 0.87 gems	0.4%	360	314.6	1.14×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Wraiths (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade	20.0%	$0.34 0.53 gems	0.2%	301	331.2	0.91×

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$32.6050.16 gems$568874 gems17.41x2h

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$32.6050.16 gems$568874 gems17.41x10h

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$32.6050.16 gems$568874 gems17.41x22h

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$32.6050.16 gems$568874 gems17.41x23h

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$32.6050.16 gems$568874 gems17.41x1d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New)weapon · Legendary$32.6050.16 gems$4.957.61 gems0.15x13m

AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New)weapon · classified$32.6050.16 gems$5.398.29 gems0.17x13m

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified$32.6050.16 gems$55.7485.75 gems1.71x13m

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wraiths (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$32.6050.16 gems$0.340.53 gems0.01x13m

AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New)weapon · classifiedanlaki$32.6050.16 gems$5.398.29 gems0.17x13m

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New)weapon · Legendary$32.6050.16 gems$4.957.61 gems0.15x2h

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wraiths (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$32.6050.16 gems$0.340.53 gems0.01x2h

StatTrak™ USP-S | Cortex (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary$32.6050.16 gems$14.8222.8 gems0.45x2h

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wraiths (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$32.6050.16 gems$0.340.53 gems0.01x2h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 02:04 UTC	$32.60	89.99%	11

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedextraordinary 3.0%covert 7.0%Classified 10.0%Legendary 15.0%blue 4.0%classified 8.0%restricted 14.0%violet 19.0%Mil Spec Grade 20.0%best hit $568 (17.41x)