Barbenheimer
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$130.57
201 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $117.52 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
77.83%
343 openings, odds method
Variance
4.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 343 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 20 | $940 1,447 gems | 40.0% | 15 | 17.1 | 0.87× |
| ★ Bayonet | Scorched (Factory New)knife · knifes | 1 in 20 | $897 1,380 gems | 38.2% | 14 | 17.1 | 0.82× |
| Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 20 | $353 543 gems | 15.0% | 18 | 17.1 | 1.05× |
| AWP | Pink DDPAT (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 20 | $86.13 133 gems | 3.7% | 7 | 17.1 | 0.41× |
| M4A1-S | Control Panel (Factory New)weapon · Legendary | 1 in 33 | $43.55 67 gems | 1.1% | 8 | 10.3 | 0.78× |
| AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 33 | $35.48 54.59 gems | 0.9% | 11 | 10.3 | 1.07× |
| SCAR-20 | Splash Jam (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified | 1 in 33 | $20.91 32.17 gems | 0.5% | 11 | 10.3 | 1.07× |
| XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 17 | $4.60 7.08 gems | 0.2% | 26 | 20.6 | 1.26× |
| Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 15.0% | $1.11 1.71 gems | 0.1% | 54 | 51.4 | 1.05× |
| Sticker | Tamarasticker · High Grade | 50.0% | $0.47 0.73 gems | 0.2% | 179 | 171.5 | 1.04× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $131 | 90.00% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 5.0%knifes 5.0%restricted 25.0%Legendary 3.0%covert 3.0%classified 9.0%High Grade 50.0%best hit $940 (7.20x)