Beach Bum
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$28.73
44.2 gems
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $25.85 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
99.23%
354 openings, odds method
Variance
3.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 370 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 壱 (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 10.0% | $177 272 gems | 68.3% | 45 | 37.0 | 1.22× |
| FAMAS | Sundown (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff | 10.0% | $38.73 59.59 gems | 15.0% | 28 | 37.0 | 0.76× |
| AWP | Sun in Leo (Factory New)weapon · industrial | 20.0% | $17.61 27.09 gems | 13.6% | 69 | 74.0 | 0.93× |
| MAC-10 | Heat (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 20.0% | $3.76 5.78 gems | 2.9% | 86 | 74.0 | 1.16× |
| P2000 | Oceanic (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 20.0% | $0.12 0.19 gems | 0.1% | 81 | 74.0 | 1.09× |
| MAC-10 | Oceanic (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff | 20.0% | $0.11 0.17 gems | 0.1% | 61 | 74.0 | 0.82× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $28.73 | 89.99% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 30.0%#4b69ff 30.0%industrial 20.0%mil spec 20.0%best hit —