BigRed

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$32.50
50 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
83.92%
1,779 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
204 openings · below min
7 days
85.56%±14.731,575 openings
30 days
83.92%±13.411,779 openings
since tracking started
83.92%±13.411,779 openings
47.0%83.3%119.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h20483.35%±35.6—sample
7d1,57585.56%±14.7—sample
30d1,77983.92%±13.4—sample
All1,77983.92%±13.4—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Sticker | iBUYPOWER | Katowice 2014sticker · high$32.5050 gems$1,6842,590 gems51.80x
Sticker | iBUYPOWER | Katowice 2014sticker · high$32.5050 gems$1,6842,590 gems51.80x
★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$32.5050 gems$7401,138 gems22.77x
★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$32.5050 gems$7401,138 gems22.77x
★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$32.5050 gems$7401,138 gems22.77x
★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$32.5050 gems$7401,138 gems22.77x
★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$32.5050 gems$7401,138 gems22.77x
★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$32.5050 gems$7401,138 gems22.77x

Latest dropsnewest first

MAC-10 | Candy Apple (Factory New)weapon · industrial$32.5050 gems$41.5463.91 gems1.28x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$32.5050 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$32.5050 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$32.5050 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Sticker | 3DMAX | Katowice 2015sticker · violetszzzz$32.5050 gems$31.8849.05 gems0.98x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$32.5050 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$32.5050 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
MAC-10 | Candy Apple (Factory New)weapon · industrial$32.5050 gems$41.5463.91 gems1.28x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$32.5050 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,684 (51.80x)