Black Ops
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$1.11
1.71 gems
Advertised RTP
89.79%
EV $1.00 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.51%
37.5K openings, odds method
Variance
2.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 37.9K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AK-47 | Slate (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 10.0% | $5.79 8.9 gems | 58.0% | 3,843 | 3785.7 | 1.02× |
| M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff | 15.0% | $1.30 2 gems | 19.5% | 5,667 | 5678.5 | 1.00× |
| XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 20 | $0.92 1.41 gems | 4.6% | 1,847 | 1892.8 | 0.98× |
| USP-S | Black Lotus (Well-Worn)weapon · blue | 10.0% | $0.52 0.8 gems | 5.2% | 3,841 | 3785.7 | 1.01× |
| Galil AR | Black Sand (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 10.0% | $0.36 0.55 gems | 3.6% | 3,875 | 3785.7 | 1.02× |
| MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New)weapon · Rare | 50.0% | $0.18 0.28 gems | 9.1% | 18,784 | 18928.7 | 0.99× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.79%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $1.11 | 89.79% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 15.0%#8847ff 15.0%blue 10.0%mil spec 10.0%Rare 50.0%best hit —