Blessed Spin
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$51.75
79.62 gems
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $46.57 from 11 items
Observed RTP, 30d
84.46%
1,838 openings, odds method
Variance
80.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 200
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,868 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Souvenir M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New)Souvenir · weaponSuntex1337$51.7579.62 gems$1,9212,956 gems37.13x
Latest dropsnewest first
Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New)weapon · ClassifiedFarelEnergy skinbet.gg$51.7579.62 gems$5.208 gems0.10x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $51.75 | 89.99% | 11 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 0.1%other 1.4%Mythical 0.5%classified 1.0%covert 1.0%mil spec 1.0%red 5.0%Restricted 5.0%Classified 85.0%best hit $5,565 (107.5x)