Blood Pressure
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$174.48
268 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $157.03 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
74.27%
92 openings, odds method
Variance
1.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 92 openings and 18.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 92 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 10.0% | $779 1,198 gems | 49.6% | 5 | 9.2 | 0.54× |
| ★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Minimal Wear)gloves · Extraordinary | 10.0% | $331 509 gems | 21.1% | 10 | 9.2 | 1.09× |
| AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New)weapon · classified | 10.0% | $177 273 gems | 11.3% | 11 | 9.2 | 1.20× |
| AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 33 | $77.54 119 gems | 1.5% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.45× |
| AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified | 1 in 50 | $51.99 79.98 gems | 0.7% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.63× |
| AWP | Redline (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified | 15.0% | $43.41 66.79 gems | 4.1% | 16 | 13.8 | 1.16× |
| SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New)weapon · covert | 15.0% | $39.57 60.88 gems | 3.8% | 18 | 13.8 | 1.30× |
| M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 35.0% | $35.74 54.99 gems | 8.0% | 25 | 32.2 | 0.78× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red (Factory New)gloves · extraordinaryuser8798f7987092h$174268 gems$7791,198 gems4.46x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $174 | 90.00% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 10.0%Extraordinary 10.0%classified 27.0%covert 18.0%restricted 35.0%best hit $779 (4.46x)