Blue Screen
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$24.11
37.09 gems
Advertised RTP
89.98%
EV $21.69 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.85%
1,376 openings, odds method
Variance
10.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 33
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,379 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Souvenir M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon | 1 in 100 | $468 720 gems | 21.6% | 12 | 13.8 | 0.87× |
| ★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert | 1 in 50 | $382 587 gems | 35.2% | 36 | 27.6 | 1.31× |
| ★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife | 1 in 50 | $223 343 gems | 20.6% | 21 | 27.6 | 0.76× |
| Desert Eagle | Starcade (Minimal Wear)weapon · rare | 1 in 20 | $61.04 93.9 gems | 14.1% | 58 | 69.0 | 0.84× |
| SCAR-20 | Powercore (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 15.0% | $3.43 5.27 gems | 2.4% | 204 | 206.8 | 0.99× |
| SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 15.0% | $2.93 4.5 gems | 2.0% | 201 | 206.8 | 0.97× |
| SCAR-20 | Wild Berry (Factory New)weapon · milspec | 20.0% | $2.24 3.45 gems | 2.1% | 286 | 275.8 | 1.04× |
| SCAR-20 | Torn (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 20.0% | $1.70 2.62 gems | 1.6% | 268 | 275.8 | 0.97× |
| SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New)weapon · Rare | 20.0% | $0.65 1 gems | 0.6% | 293 | 275.8 | 1.06× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$24.1137.09 gems$382587 gems15.83x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.98%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $24.11 | 89.98% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 1.0%covert 2.0%covert knife 2.0%rare 5.0%restricted 30.0%milspec 20.0%mil spec 20.0%Rare 20.0%best hit —