Bunny Business

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$19.27
29.64 gems
Advertised RTP
89.97%
EV $17.33 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
94.10%
3,742 openings, odds method
Variance
30.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 57
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
178.33%±61.31308 openings
7 days
88.34%±20.022,888 openings
30 days
94.10%±17.593,742 openings
since tracking started
94.10%±17.593,742 openings
67.5%154.0%240.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h308178.33%±61.3+2.8σodds
7d2,88888.34%±20.0−0.2σodds
30d3,74294.10%±17.6+0.5σodds
All3,74294.10%±17.6+0.5σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,778 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 400$1,743 2,682 gems25.1%99.40.95×
★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 200$786 1,210 gems22.7%2618.91.38×
USP-S | Whiteout (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 100$170 262 gems9.8%2637.80.69×
★ Ursus Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 50$107 165 gems12.4%7275.60.95×
★ Shadow Daggers | Stained (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 36$71.81 110 gems11.4%110103.91.06×
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 29$60.85 93.62 gems12.3%129132.20.98×
MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New)weapon · restricted10.0%$6.96 10.7 gems4.0%356377.80.94×
CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Factory New)weapon · mil spec25.0%$0.96 1.47 gems1.4%955944.51.01×
Galil AR | Tuxedo (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mil Spec Grade25.0%$0.54 0.83 gems0.8%956944.51.01×
Sticker | SAW | Copenhagen 2024sticker · Rare30.0%$0.07 0.11 gems0.1%1,1391133.41.00×
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New)gloves · legendary$19.2729.64 gems$1,7432,682 gems90.49x
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New)gloves · legendary$19.2729.64 gems$1,7432,682 gems90.49x
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New)gloves · legendary$19.2729.64 gems$1,7432,682 gems90.49x
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New)gloves · legendary$19.2729.64 gems$1,7432,682 gems90.49x
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New)gloves · legendary$19.2729.64 gems$1,7432,682 gems90.49x
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New)gloves · legendary$19.2729.64 gems$1,7432,682 gems90.49x
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New)gloves · legendary$19.2729.64 gems$1,7432,682 gems90.49x
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New)gloves · legendary$19.2729.64 gems$1,7432,682 gems90.49x

Latest dropsnewest first

Galil AR | Tuxedo (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$19.2729.64 gems$0.540.83 gems0.03x
CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$19.2729.64 gems$0.961.47 gems0.05x
MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New)weapon · restricted$19.2729.64 gems$6.9610.7 gems0.36x
Sticker | SAW | Copenhagen 2024sticker · Rare$19.2729.64 gems$0.070.11 gems0.00x
Galil AR | Tuxedo (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$19.2729.64 gems$0.540.83 gems0.03x
Galil AR | Tuxedo (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$19.2729.64 gems$0.540.83 gems0.03x
Sticker | SAW | Copenhagen 2024sticker · Rare$19.2729.64 gems$0.070.11 gems0.00x
MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New)weapon · restricted$19.2729.64 gems$6.9610.7 gems0.36x
CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$19.2729.64 gems$0.961.47 gems0.05x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.97%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 02:04 UTC$19.2789.97%10
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedlegendary 0.3%extraordinary 0.5%classified 1.0%covert 8.3%restricted 10.0%mil spec 25.0%Mil Spec Grade 25.0%Rare 30.0%best hit $1,743 (90.49x)