Camp Mid
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$144.65
223 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $130.19 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
75.07%
724 openings, odds method
Variance
11.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 25
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
88.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 744 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert | 1 in 25 | $2,456 3,779 gems | 75.5% | 24 | 29.8 | 0.81× |
| Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · rare | 1 in 25 | $483 743 gems | 14.8% | 25 | 29.8 | 0.84× |
| Desert Eagle | Hand Cannon (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 25 | $232 357 gems | 7.1% | 25 | 29.8 | 0.84× |
| SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New)weapon · classified | 27.0% | $8.61 13.25 gems | 1.8% | 205 | 200.9 | 1.02× |
| SSG 08 | Parallax (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff | 29.0% | $2.92 4.49 gems | 0.7% | 235 | 215.8 | 1.09× |
| SSG 08 | Azure Glyph (Minimal Wear)weapon · blueLight | 32.0% | $0.58 0.89 gems | 0.1% | 230 | 238.1 | 0.97× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $145 | 90.00% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 4.0%rare 4.0%restricted 4.0%classified 27.0%#8847ff 29.0%blueLight 32.0%best hit $2,456 (16.98x)