gambatracker
Live
Big wins
Marlin Masters OG$7,08047.20xSalon Privé Blackjack H$10K2.00xHot to Burn$1,00010.00xStarlight Princess Super Scatter$1,142189.0xFlaming Hot Extreme Bell Link$3,90170.00xLotus Sic Bo$4,0042.00xRainbet Speed Blackjack$1,1341.40xMines$1,5004.95xSpeed Blackjack 12$5,0241.67xGates of Olympus Super Scatter$62.56208.4xFruit Party$7,3211.22xSalon Privé Blackjack K$10K2.00xRed Door Roulette$2,2571.13xWanted Dead or a Wild$1,5716.55xLimbo$32.00100.0x2026 Hit Slot$1,6828.40xChristmas Big Bass Bonanza$758134.5xCrash$3,34130.27xCases$1,4406.55xCase Battles$2,3272.65xBig Bass Splash$155232.0xHot to Burn$1,00010.00xKorean Speed Baccarat$4,3002.00xSugar Rush 1000$2,3303.32x

Capsule King

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$2,347.33
3,611 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $2,112.58 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
78.89%
124 openings, odds method
Variance
6.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 25
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
12 openings · below min
7 days
106 openings · below min
30 days
124 openings · below min
since tracking started
124 openings · below min
33.0%209.0%385.0%

Small sample. 124 openings and 5.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h12238.41%±145.9—odds
7d10685.44%±49.1—odds
30d12478.89%±45.4—odds
All12478.89%±45.4—odds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 124 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary1 in 50$32.5K 50,000 gems30.8%32.51.21×
Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable1 in 50$26K 40,000 gems24.6%12.50.40×
Sticker | Vox Eminor (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary1 in 50$15.7K 24,100 gems14.8%22.50.81×
Sticker | Natus Vincere (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable1 in 50$6,193 9,527 gems5.9%32.51.21×
Sticker | Clan-Mystik (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary1 in 50$3,217 4,949 gems3.0%12.50.40×
Sticker | mousesports (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable1 in 50$2,020 3,108 gems1.9%32.51.21×
Sticker | 3DMAX (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable1 in 50$1,689 2,599 gems1.6%12.50.40×
Sticker | iBUYPOWER | Katowice 2014sticker · high10.0%$1,470 2,261 gems7.0%912.40.73×
Sticker | Reason Gaming | Katowice 2014sticker · high10.0%$1,391 2,141 gems6.6%1612.41.29×
Sticker | ESL Wolf (Foil) | Katowice 2014sticker · exotic10.0%$307 473 gems1.5%1112.40.89×
Sticker | Clan-Mystik | Katowice 2014sticker · high16.0%$233 359 gems1.8%2019.81.01×
Sticker | 3DMAX | Katowice 2015sticker · violet40.0%$31.88 49.05 gems0.6%5449.61.09×
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendaryKick.com/Romix$2,3473,611 gems$32.5K50,000 gems13.85x
Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary$2,3473,611 gems$32.5K50,000 gems13.85x
Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary$2,3473,611 gems$32.5K50,000 gems13.85x
Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$2,3473,611 gems$26K40,000 gems11.08x
Sticker | Vox Eminor (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendaryjurassicpeek$2,3473,611 gems$15.7K24,100 gems6.67x
Sticker | Vox Eminor (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary$2,3473,611 gems$15.7K24,100 gems6.67x
Sticker | Natus Vincere (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$2,3473,611 gems$6,1939,527 gems2.64x
Sticker | Natus Vincere (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$2,3473,611 gems$6,1939,527 gems2.64x
Sticker | Natus Vincere (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$2,3473,611 gems$6,1939,527 gems2.64x
Sticker | Clan-Mystik (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary$2,3473,611 gems$3,2174,949 gems1.37x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Sticker | ESL Wolf (Foil) | Katowice 2014sticker · exotic$2,3473,611 gems$307473 gems0.13x
Sticker | 3DMAX | Katowice 2015sticker · violet$2,3473,611 gems$31.8849.05 gems0.01x
Sticker | 3DMAX | Katowice 2015sticker · violet$2,3473,611 gems$31.8849.05 gems0.01x
Sticker | Clan-Mystik | Katowice 2014sticker · high$2,3473,611 gems$233359 gems0.10x
Sticker | 3DMAX | Katowice 2015sticker · violet$2,3473,611 gems$31.8849.05 gems0.01x
Sticker | 3DMAX | Katowice 2015sticker · violetCODE:666 750LB 300GW$2,3473,611 gems$31.8849.05 gems0.01x
Sticker | 3DMAX | Katowice 2015sticker · violet$2,3473,611 gems$31.8849.05 gems0.01x
Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary$2,3473,611 gems$32.5K50,000 gems13.85x
Sticker | Reason Gaming | Katowice 2014sticker · high$2,3473,611 gems$1,3912,141 gems0.59x
Sticker | 3DMAX | Katowice 2015sticker · violet$2,3473,611 gems$31.8849.05 gems0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 02:04 UTC$2,34790.00%12
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedlegendary 6.0%remarkable 8.0%high 36.0%exotic 10.0%violet 40.0%best hit $32.5K (13.85x)