Celestial Cache

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$162.50
250 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
172.99%
87 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
81 openings · below min
30 days
87 openings · below min
since tracking started
87 openings · below min
31.0%184.5%338.0%

Small sample. 87 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d81185.63%±151.7—sample
30d87172.99%±141.6—sample
All87172.99%±141.6—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New)weapon · legendary$163250 gems$6,4359,901 gems39.60x
★ Sport Gloves | Amphibiou (Factory New)gloves$163250 gems$3,8645,945 gems23.78x
M4A4 | Howl (Minimal Wear)weapon · contrabandSanemi$163250 gems$2,7774,273 gems17.09x
Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New)weapon · classified$163250 gems$1,3612,094 gems8.38x
Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New)weapon · classified$163250 gems$1,3612,094 gems8.38x
Sticker | Howling Dawnsticker · contraband$163250 gems$7151,100 gems4.40x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter)sticker · remarkable$163250 gems$3.745.75 gems0.02x
Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter)sticker · remarkable$163250 gems$3.745.75 gems0.02x
Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter)sticker · remarkable$163250 gems$3.745.75 gems0.02x
Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter)sticker · remarkable$163250 gems$3.745.75 gems0.02x
Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter)sticker · remarkable$163250 gems$3.745.75 gems0.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $6,435 (39.60x)