Cheap Juicer
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$3.22
4.95 gems
Advertised RTP
89.90%
EV $2.89 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.59%
30.5K openings, odds method
Variance
14.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 33
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 30.7K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · covert | 1 in 100 | $72.10 111 gems | 24.9% | 306 | 307.1 | 1.00× |
| ★ Bowie Knife | Freehand (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife | 1 in 100 | $65.90 101 gems | 22.8% | 300 | 307.1 | 0.98× |
| AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 100 | $59.40 91.38 gems | 20.5% | 303 | 307.1 | 0.99× |
| AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified | 1 in 100 | $39.86 61.32 gems | 13.8% | 292 | 307.1 | 0.95× |
| AWP | Electric Hive (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 100 | $35.31 54.32 gems | 12.2% | 278 | 307.1 | 0.91× |
| XM1014 | Black Tie (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted | 95.0% | $0.18 0.27 gems | 5.8% | 29,236 | 29179.3 | 1.00× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.90%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $3.22 | 89.90% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 2.0%covert knife 1.0%classified 2.0%restricted 95.0%best hit —