cheekzs-0-chance

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$23.40
36 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
132.77%
52 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
52 openings · below min
30 days
52 openings · below min
since tracking started
52 openings · below min
-0.5%192.3%385.0%

Small sample. 52 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d52132.77%±251.7—sample
30d52132.77%±251.7—sample
All52132.77%±251.7—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Salty (Holo)sticker · remarkable$23.4036 gems$1.061.63 gems0.05x
Sticker | Salty (Holo)sticker · remarkable$23.4036 gems$1.061.63 gems0.05x
Sticker | Mister Chiefsticker · Rare$23.4036 gems$0.370.57 gems0.02x
Sticker | Salty (Holo)sticker · remarkableCheekzs$23.4036 gems$1.061.63 gems0.05x
Sticker | Mister Chiefsticker · Rare$23.4036 gems$0.370.57 gems0.02x
Sticker | Mister Chiefsticker · Rare$23.4036 gems$0.370.57 gems0.02x
Sticker | Mister Chiefsticker · Rare$23.4036 gems$0.370.57 gems0.02x
Sticker | Fancy Koi (Foil)sticker · pinkCheekzs$23.4036 gems$1.612.48 gems0.07x
Sticker | Salty (Holo)sticker · remarkable$23.4036 gems$1.061.63 gems0.05x
Sealed Graffiti | Tamaragraffiti · remarkable$23.4036 gems$1.592.44 gems0.07x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,564 (66.83x)