Cheese Chase

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price

$2.99

4.6 gems

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

123.92%

4,074 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

137 openings · below min

7 days

116.47%±45.362,823 openings

30 days

123.92%±38.514,074 openings

since tracking started

123.92%±38.514,074 openings

0.5%203.0%405.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	137	203.16%±201.9	—	sample
7d	2,823	116.47%±45.4	—	sample
30d	4,074	123.92%±38.5	—	sample
All	4,074	123.92%±38.5	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New)weapon · #eb4b4bRamsiVanHinten$2.994.6 gems$1,0431,604 gems348.7x5d

Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · rarezorange chicken$2.994.6 gems$478735 gems159.8x2d

Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · rareRamsiVanHinten$2.994.6 gems$478735 gems159.8x4d

Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · rare$2.994.6 gems$478735 gems159.8x5d

Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · rareRamsiVanHinten$2.994.6 gems$478735 gems159.8x5d

Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · rare$2.994.6 gems$478735 gems159.8x7d

Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · rareunnamed$2.994.6 gems$478735 gems159.8x7d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$2.994.6 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x27m

Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumerRheik1n$2.994.6 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x27m

Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$2.994.6 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x39m

Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumerWhat happened Rick$2.994.6 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x39m

Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$2.994.6 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x43m

Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumerWhat happened Rick$2.994.6 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x43m

Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$2.994.6 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x45m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,043 (348.7x)