Chicken Run
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$114.65
176 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $103.19 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
97.92%
44 openings, odds method
Variance
2.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 44 openings and 4.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 50 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pet Chicken | Catalana (Black)other | 1 in 67 | $813 1,250 gems | 11.8% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| Pet Chicken | Silkie (White)other | 1 in 67 | $813 1,250 gems | 11.8% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| Pet Chicken | Silkie (Red)other | 1 in 50 | $650 1,000 gems | 12.6% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| Pet Chicken | Polish (Pink)other | 1 in 20 | $325 500 gems | 15.7% | 5 | 2.5 | 2.00× |
| Pet Chicken | Catalana (Blue)other | 1 in 20 | $260 400 gems | 12.6% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.40× |
| Pet Chicken | Silkie (Purple)other | 1 in 20 | $195 300 gems | 9.4% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.80× |
| Pet Chicken | Polish (Green)other | 1 in 20 | $130 200 gems | 6.3% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.40× |
| Pet Chicken | Polish (Brown)other | 1 in 20 | $65.00 100 gems | 3.1% | 4 | 2.5 | 1.60× |
| Pet Chicken | Silkie (Orange)other | 35.0% | $32.50 50 gems | 11.0% | 18 | 17.5 | 1.03× |
| Pet Chicken | Catalana (Grey)other | 35.0% | $16.25 25 gems | 5.5% | 17 | 17.5 | 0.97× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $115 | 90.00% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit $813 (7.09x)