Chroma 2 Case
A case on Clash.gg (cs2), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$2.55
3.93 gems
Advertised RTP
89.93%
EV $2.30 from 46 items
Observed RTP, 30d
77.00%
5,573 openings, odds method
Variance
94.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 181
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
82.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values46 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,635 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Karambit | Ultraviolet (Factory New)knife · CovertPEETER-PIKKKÕRV$2.553.93 gems$8391,291 gems328.5x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.93%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $2.55 | 89.93% | 46 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedCovert 0.0%covert 0.8%sunny 0.0%other 0.0%classified 3.2%mil spec 40.0%Mythical 4.0%restricted 4.0%#8847ff 4.0%milspec 13.3%violet 4.0%#4b69ff 26.7%best hit $839 (328.5x)