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Clover Drip

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$63.87
98.26 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $57.48 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
85.10%
3,742 openings, odds method
Variance
37.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 133
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
168 openings · below min
7 days
83.22%±20.683,362 openings
30 days
85.10%±19.603,742 openings
since tracking started
85.10%±19.603,742 openings
-0.5%89.8%180.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h16886.93%±92.5—odds
7d3,36283.22%±20.7−0.6σodds
30d3,74285.10%±19.6−0.5σodds
All3,74285.10%±19.6−0.5σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,799 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald1 in 400$5,917 9,104 gems25.7%89.50.84×
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary1 in 400$4,318 6,643 gems18.8%99.50.95×
★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 400$2,069 3,183 gems9.0%99.50.95×
★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald1 in 400$1,232 1,895 gems5.4%69.50.63×
Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 100$614 945 gems10.7%3638.00.95×
Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)weapon · red · Emerald1 in 100$493 758 gems8.6%4838.01.26×
★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald1 in 100$281 432 gems4.9%3938.01.03×
CZ75-Auto | Emerald Quartz (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 100$99.37 153 gems1.7%4038.01.05×
Dual Berettas | Emerald (Factory New)weapon · mil spec10.0%$45.21 69.56 gems7.9%355379.90.93×
M4A1-S | Electrum (Factory New)weapon · Mythical10.0%$14.42 22.18 gems2.5%395379.91.04×
AWP | Green Energy (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ce630.0%$7.50 11.54 gems3.9%1,1791139.71.03×
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare45.0%$1.23 1.9 gems1.0%1,6751709.50.98×
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$63.8798.26 gems$5,9179,104 gems92.65x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$63.8798.26 gems$5,9179,104 gems92.65x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · EmeraldCodeWILDCS 2K LB$63.8798.26 gems$5,9179,104 gems92.65x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$63.8798.26 gems$5,9179,104 gems92.65x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$63.8798.26 gems$5,9179,104 gems92.65x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$63.8798.26 gems$5,9179,104 gems92.65x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$63.8798.26 gems$5,9179,104 gems92.65x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$63.8798.26 gems$5,9179,104 gems92.65x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$63.8798.26 gems$4,3186,643 gems67.61x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$63.8798.26 gems$4,3186,643 gems67.61x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
AWP | Green Energy (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ce6$63.8798.26 gems$7.5011.54 gems0.12x
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare$63.8798.26 gems$1.231.9 gems0.02x
CZ75-Auto | Emerald Quartz (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$63.8798.26 gems$99.37153 gems1.56x
M4A1-S | Electrum (Factory New)weapon · Mythical$63.8798.26 gems$14.4222.18 gems0.23x
AWP | Green Energy (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ce6$63.8798.26 gems$7.5011.54 gems0.12x
M4A1-S | Electrum (Factory New)weapon · Mythical( ͡° ᴥ ͡° )$63.8798.26 gems$14.4222.18 gems0.23x
★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$63.8798.26 gems$281432 gems4.40x
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare$63.8798.26 gems$1.231.9 gems0.02x
AWP | Green Energy (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ce6$63.8798.26 gems$7.5011.54 gems0.12x
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare$63.8798.26 gems$1.231.9 gems0.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 01:59 UTC$63.8790.00%12
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 1.5%extraordinary 0.3%legendary 0.3%restricted 1.0%red 1.0%mil spec 11.0%Mythical 10.0%#d32ce6 30.0%Rare 45.0%best hit $5,917 (92.65x)