Crayons GODLY 10%

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1,080.23
1,662 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
40.08%
41 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
12 openings · below min
7 days
35 openings · below min
30 days
41 openings · below min
since tracking started
41 openings · below min
-0.5%39.5%79.5%

Small sample. 41 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1222.89%±44.8—sample
7d3538.99%±40.1—sample
30d4140.08%±36.3—sample
All4140.08%±36.3—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$1,0801,662 gems$3,0064,624 gems2.78x
★ Sport Gloves | Omega (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$1,0801,662 gems$2,9654,561 gems2.74x
★ Sport Gloves | Omega (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$1,0801,662 gems$2,9654,561 gems2.74x
M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested)weapon · contraband$1,0801,662 gems$2,4063,702 gems2.23x

Latest dropsnewest first

★ Sport Gloves | Omega (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$1,0801,662 gems$2,9654,561 gems2.74x
Sticker | Baitedsticker · High Grade$1,0801,662 gems$0.160.24 gems0.00x
Sticker | Baby Medusasticker · high$1,0801,662 gems$0.180.28 gems0.00x
Sticker | Baby Medusasticker · high$1,0801,662 gems$0.180.28 gems0.00x
Sticker | Baitedsticker · High Grade$1,0801,662 gems$0.160.24 gems0.00x
Sticker | Baby Medusasticker · high$1,0801,662 gems$0.180.28 gems0.00x
Sticker | Baitedsticker · High Grade$1,0801,662 gems$0.160.24 gems0.00x
Sticker | Baitedsticker · High Grade$1,0801,662 gems$0.160.24 gems0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $6,402 (5.93x)