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curtpur 20io4ofd0

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$72.79
112 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
94.27%
250 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
30 openings · below min
7 days
174 openings · below min
30 days
250 openings · below min
since tracking started
250 openings · below min
-0.5%137.3%275.0%

Small sample. 250 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h3092.79%±181.5—sample
7d17488.06%±144.2—sample
30d25094.27%±109.9—sample
All25094.27%±109.9—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Souvenir AWP | Gungnir (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon$72.79112 gems$9,10714,011 gems125.1x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · legendary$72.79112 gems$2,9964,609 gems41.15x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · legendary$72.79112 gems$2,9964,609 gems41.15x
M4A4 | Howl (Well-Worn)weapon · contrabandPurple$72.79112 gems$2,0223,111 gems27.78x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$72.79112 gems$0.140.22 gems0.00x
G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$72.79112 gems$0.140.22 gems0.00x
G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$72.79112 gems$0.140.22 gems0.00x
G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$72.79112 gems$0.140.22 gems0.00x
G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$72.79112 gems$0.140.22 gems0.00x
G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New)weapon · mil specPurple$72.79112 gems$0.140.22 gems0.00x
G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$72.79112 gems$0.140.22 gems0.00x
G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$72.79112 gems$0.140.22 gems0.00x
G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$72.79112 gems$0.140.22 gems0.00x
G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$72.79112 gems$0.140.22 gems0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $9,107 (125.1x)