cvrsify-horndog

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$176.79
272 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
103.37%
210 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
18 openings · below min
7 days
198 openings · below min
30 days
210 openings · below min
since tracking started
210 openings · below min
-0.5%80.8%162.0%

Small sample. 210 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h180.33%±0.00—sample
7d198100.31%±60.0—sample
30d210103.37%±57.9—sample
All210103.37%±57.9—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New)weapon · blue$177272 gems$0.580.89 gems0.00x
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New)weapon · blue$177272 gems$0.580.89 gems0.00x
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New)weapon · blue$177272 gems$0.580.89 gems0.00x
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New)weapon · blue$177272 gems$0.580.89 gems0.00x
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New)weapon · blue$177272 gems$0.580.89 gems0.00x
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New)weapon · blue$177272 gems$0.580.89 gems0.00x
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New)weapon · blue$177272 gems$0.580.89 gems0.00x
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New)weapon · blue$177272 gems$0.580.89 gems0.00x
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New)weapon · blue$177272 gems$0.580.89 gems0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $5,278 (29.85x)