Cyber Oni
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$20.09
30.9 gems
Advertised RTP
89.98%
EV $18.07 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.08%
1,772 openings, odds method
Variance
5.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 20
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,874 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 40 | $300 462 gems | 41.5% | 47 | 46.9 | 1.00× |
| M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New)weapon · epic | 1 in 40 | $78.65 121 gems | 10.9% | 42 | 46.9 | 0.90× |
| USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)weapon · covert | 1 in 20 | $56.94 87.6 gems | 15.8% | 95 | 93.7 | 1.01× |
| AK-47 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 1 in 20 | $36.34 55.9 gems | 10.1% | 98 | 93.7 | 1.05× |
| M4A1-S | Decimator (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 20 | $21.87 33.65 gems | 6.1% | 90 | 93.7 | 0.96× |
| Glock-18 | Shinobu (Factory New)weapon · rare | 1 in 20 | $10.13 15.58 gems | 2.8% | 85 | 93.7 | 0.91× |
| Tec-9 | Bamboo Forest (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer | 35.0% | $4.21 6.47 gems | 8.1% | 659 | 655.9 | 1.00× |
| MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Factory New)weapon · violet | 40.0% | $2.16 3.32 gems | 4.8% | 758 | 749.6 | 1.01× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.98%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $20.09 | 89.98% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 12.5%epic 2.5%classified 5.0%rare 5.0%consumer 35.0%violet 40.0%best hit —