Cybernetic Future
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$62.65
96.39 gems
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $56.38 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
113.75%
501 openings, odds method
Variance
3.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
82.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Outside band, 30 days. Advertised 89.99% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (97.07% – 130.43%, 501 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 507 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Five-SeveN | Neon Kimono (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 20 | $498 767 gems | 44.2% | 37 | 25.4 | 1.46× |
| AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 20 | $234 360 gems | 20.8% | 29 | 25.4 | 1.14× |
| AK-47 | Neon Rider (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 13 | $167 257 gems | 22.2% | 42 | 38.0 | 1.10× |
| M4A1-S | Decimator (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 13 | $40.68 62.58 gems | 5.4% | 39 | 38.0 | 1.03× |
| M4A4 | In Living Color (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient | 10.0% | $19.31 29.7 gems | 3.4% | 42 | 50.7 | 0.83× |
| AWP | Fever Dream (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified | 10.0% | $9.41 14.48 gems | 1.7% | 45 | 50.7 | 0.89× |
| MP7 | Neon Ply (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 10.0% | $6.30 9.69 gems | 1.1% | 59 | 50.7 | 1.16× |
| Glock-18 | Vogue (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary | 12.5% | $3.17 4.87 gems | 0.7% | 67 | 63.4 | 1.06× |
| P250 | Cyber Shell (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff | 12.5% | $1.84 2.83 gems | 0.4% | 50 | 63.4 | 0.79× |
| SG 553 | Cyberforce (Factory New)weapon · Rare | 20.0% | $0.38 0.59 gems | 0.1% | 97 | 101.4 | 0.96× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
AWP | Fever Dream (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedFarelEnergy skinbet.gg$62.6596.39 gems$9.4114.48 gems0.15x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $62.65 | 89.99% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 15.0%covert 12.5%classified 17.5%Ancient 10.0%Legendary 12.5%#8847ff 12.5%Rare 20.0%best hit —