Cyborg
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$193.88
298 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $174.49 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
75.08%
54 openings, odds method
Variance
4.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
30.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
55.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 54 openings and 16.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 54 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AWP | Gungnir (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 200 | $5,423 8,343 gems | 15.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| ★ Karambit | Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · gold | 14.5% | $407 627 gems | 33.9% | 9 | 7.8 | 1.15× |
| ★ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Well-Worn)knife · covert | 15.0% | $365 562 gems | 31.4% | 6 | 8.1 | 0.74× |
| ★ Bayonet | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert | 15.0% | $220 338 gems | 18.9% | 9 | 8.1 | 1.11× |
| Five-SeveN | Anodized Gunmetal (Factory New)weapon · Common | 15.0% | $3.32 5.1 gems | 0.3% | 6 | 8.1 | 0.74× |
| P250 | Metallic DDPAT (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial | 15.0% | $0.14 0.22 gems | 0.0% | 11 | 8.1 | 1.36× |
| MAG-7 | Metallic DDPAT (Factory New)weapon · light blue | 25.0% | $0.12 0.18 gems | 0.0% | 13 | 13.5 | 0.96× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $194 | 90.00% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 30.5%gold 14.5%Common 15.0%industrial 15.0%light blue 25.0%best hit —