CZ Pack
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$7.72
11.88 gems
Advertised RTP
89.96%
EV $6.95 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
84.44%
3,787 openings, odds method
Variance
19.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 25
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,834 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CZ75-Auto | Chalice (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 100 | $341 525 gems | 49.2% | 31 | 38.3 | 0.81× |
| CZ75-Auto | Emerald (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 33 | $28.44 43.75 gems | 12.3% | 114 | 115.0 | 0.99× |
| CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 33 | $26.14 40.22 gems | 11.3% | 134 | 115.0 | 1.17× |
| CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 33 | $24.80 38.15 gems | 10.7% | 134 | 115.0 | 1.17× |
| CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 13 | $6.86 10.55 gems | 7.4% | 267 | 287.6 | 0.93× |
| CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 13 | $5.45 8.38 gems | 5.9% | 282 | 287.6 | 0.98× |
| CZ75-Auto | Eco (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted | 10.0% | $0.91 1.4 gems | 1.3% | 391 | 383.4 | 1.02× |
| CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted | 20.0% | $0.36 0.56 gems | 1.0% | 748 | 766.8 | 0.98× |
| CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff | 20.0% | $0.22 0.34 gems | 0.6% | 773 | 766.8 | 1.01× |
| CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff | 25.0% | $0.08 0.12 gems | 0.3% | 960 | 958.5 | 1.00× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.96%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $7.72 | 89.96% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 38.5%mil spec 13.5%classified 3.0%#8847ff 20.0%#4b69ff 25.0%best hit —