DDPAT Collector
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$17.59
27.06 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $15.83 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.73%
2,352 openings, odds method
Variance
15.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 50
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,414 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)knife · covertsmiffingtable$17.5927.06 gems$7801,200 gems44.35x
★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)knife · covertasfalttisoturi$17.5927.06 gems$7801,200 gems44.35x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $17.59 | 90.00% | 14 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.4%extraordinary 1.6%rare 2.0%restricted 11.0%mil spec 5.0%Uncommon 10.0%consumer 10.0%Common 40.0%light blue 20.0%best hit $780 (44.35x)