Deagles Only
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$22.56
34.7 gems
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $20.30 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
95.36%
966 openings, odds method
Variance
3.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 988 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · rare | 1 in 200 | $269 415 gems | 6.6% | 7 | 4.9 | 1.42× |
| Desert Eagle | Hand Cannon (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted | 1 in 67 | $198 305 gems | 14.7% | 14 | 14.8 | 0.94× |
| Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 壱 (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted | 1 in 33 | $125 193 gems | 18.5% | 42 | 29.6 | 1.42× |
| Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 20 | $76.25 117 gems | 18.8% | 43 | 49.4 | 0.87× |
| Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New)weapon · covert | 10.0% | $46.68 71.82 gems | 23.0% | 94 | 98.8 | 0.95× |
| Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Factory New)weapon · classified | 10.0% | $17.82 27.41 gems | 8.8% | 88 | 98.8 | 0.89× |
| Desert Eagle | Midnight Storm (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial | 10.0% | $7.96 12.24 gems | 3.9% | 85 | 98.8 | 0.86× |
| Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New)weapon · classified | 10.0% | $5.59 8.6 gems | 2.8% | 95 | 98.8 | 0.96× |
| Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 25.0% | $2.11 3.24 gems | 2.6% | 258 | 247.0 | 1.04× |
| Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 25.0% | $0.31 0.48 gems | 0.4% | 262 | 247.0 | 1.06× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Factory New)weapon · mil specAlboholics$22.5634.7 gems$0.310.48 gems0.01x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $22.56 | 89.99% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrare 0.5%restricted 34.5%covert 10.0%classified 20.0%industrial 10.0%mil spec 25.0%best hit —