Diabolical 10%

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 8 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$243.85
375 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
68.81%
116 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
116 openings · below min
30 days
116 openings · below min
since tracking started
116 openings · below min
12.0%68.8%125.5%

Small sample. 116 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d11668.81%±56.0—sample
30d11668.81%±56.0—sample
All11668.81%±56.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | Gungnir (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$244375 gems$5,2818,125 gems21.66x
★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · knifes$244375 gems$4,2536,543 gems17.44x
AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$244375 gems$3,7465,763 gems15.36x
★ Karambit | Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · epic$244375 gems$1,5392,367 gems6.31x
★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · Immortal$244375 gems$1,1861,825 gems4.86x
★ Karambit | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$244375 gems$1,0001,538 gems4.10x
AWP | Desert Hydra (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$244375 gems$9041,391 gems3.71x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Boomsticker · Rare$244375 gems$0.170.26 gems0.00x
★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · knifes$244375 gems$4,2536,543 gems17.44x
Sticker | Boomsticker · Rare$244375 gems$0.170.26 gems0.00x
Sticker | Boomsticker · RareAdorable Rhino$244375 gems$0.170.26 gems0.00x
Sticker | Boomsticker · Rare$244375 gems$0.170.26 gems0.00x
Sticker | Boomsticker · Rare$244375 gems$0.170.26 gems0.00x
Sticker | Boomsticker · Rare$244375 gems$0.170.26 gems0.00x
Sticker | Boomsticker · RareNewman$244375 gems$0.170.26 gems0.00x
Sticker | Boomsticker · Rare$244375 gems$0.170.26 gems0.00x
Sticker | Boomsticker · Rare$244375 gems$0.170.26 gems0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $5,281 (21.66x)