Divine Order
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$161.78
249 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $145.60 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
75.23%
436 openings, odds method
Variance
5.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 18
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
82.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 438 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested)gloves · legendary | 1 in 200 | $4,120 6,338 gems | 14.1% | 0 | 2.2 | 0.00× |
| ★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 100 | $1,878 2,889 gems | 12.9% | 3 | 4.4 | 0.68× |
| AWP | Medusa (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 1 in 100 | $1,577 2,426 gems | 10.8% | 7 | 4.4 | 1.60× |
| M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 33 | $738 1,135 gems | 15.2% | 8 | 13.1 | 0.61× |
| M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 20 | $317 487 gems | 10.9% | 30 | 21.9 | 1.37× |
| Glock-18 | Synth Leaf (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 14 | $281 433 gems | 13.5% | 23 | 30.7 | 0.75× |
| MP9 | Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec | 12.5% | $90.84 140 gems | 7.8% | 55 | 54.8 | 1.00× |
| FAMAS | Prime Conspiracy (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff | 20.0% | $51.81 79.7 gems | 7.1% | 90 | 87.6 | 1.03× |
| StatTrak™ AWP | Atheris (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted | 25.0% | $25.03 38.51 gems | 4.3% | 114 | 109.5 | 1.04× |
| M4A1-S | Bright Water (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted | 25.0% | $19.21 29.55 gems | 3.3% | 108 | 109.5 | 0.99× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$162249 gems$1,8782,889 gems11.61x
★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$162249 gems$1,8782,889 gems11.61x
★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$162249 gems$1,8782,889 gems11.61x
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ AWP | Atheris (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$162249 gems$25.0338.51 gems0.15x
StatTrak™ AWP | Atheris (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$162249 gems$25.0338.51 gems0.15x
StatTrak™ AWP | Atheris (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$162249 gems$25.0338.51 gems0.15x
FAMAS | Prime Conspiracy (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ffFarelEnergy skinbet.gg$162249 gems$51.8179.7 gems0.32x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $162 | 90.00% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 0.5%extraordinary 1.0%covert 1.0%classified 3.0%restricted 62.0%mil spec 12.5%#8847ff 20.0%best hit $1,878 (11.61x)