Doug Chonker
A case on Clash.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$100.24
154 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
121.13%
374 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 374 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$100154 gems$8,77513,500 gems87.54x
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$100154 gems$1,5852,438 gems15.81x
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$100154 gems$1,5852,438 gems15.81x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · #ffd700$100154 gems$1,1431,759 gems11.41x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · #ffd700wazzan$100154 gems$1,1431,759 gems11.41x
★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Factory New)gloves · extraordinaryWallet$100154 gems$647996 gems6.46x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $8,775 (87.54x)