Doug Jumper Case
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$24.21
37.24 gems
Advertised RTP
89.98%
EV $21.78 from 15 items
Observed RTP, 30d
117.84%
2,801 openings, odds method
Variance
90.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 19
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
86.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,810 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified$24.2137.24 gems$136209 gems5.60x
StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified7gg7$24.2137.24 gems$34.1752.57 gems1.41x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified$24.2137.24 gems$136209 gems5.60x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.98%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $24.21 | 89.98% | 15 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 0.0%legendary 0.0%covert 4.2%remarkable 0.0%extraordinary 1.0%classified 6.0%Classified 2.0%Rare 86.8%best hit $7,236 (298.9x)