Dream 5%!

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$23.45
36.08 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
126.83%
900 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
228 openings · below min
7 days
690 openings · below min
30 days
900 openings · below min
since tracking started
900 openings · below min
1.5%243.0%484.5%

Small sample. 900 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h228243.20%±240.9—sample
7d690127.57%±82.0—sample
30d900126.83%±64.2—sample
All900126.83%±64.2—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AK-47 | Hydroponic (Factory New)weapon · classified$23.4536.08 gems$1,6132,482 gems68.78x
★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert$23.4536.08 gems$1,1051,700 gems47.11x

Latest dropsnewest first

AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$23.4536.08 gems$0.060.09 gems0.00x
AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$23.4536.08 gems$0.060.09 gems0.00x
AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$23.4536.08 gems$0.060.09 gems0.00x
AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$23.4536.08 gems$0.060.09 gems0.00x
AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$23.4536.08 gems$0.060.09 gems0.00x
AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$23.4536.08 gems$0.060.09 gems0.00x
AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$23.4536.08 gems$0.060.09 gems0.00x
AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$23.4536.08 gems$0.060.09 gems0.00x
AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$23.4536.08 gems$0.060.09 gems0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $6,193 (264.1x)