Drew-17-doot-77percent-Luck-Box

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$312.12
480 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
70.23%
46 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
18 openings · below min
7 days
22 openings · below min
30 days
46 openings · below min
since tracking started
46 openings · below min
-0.5%58.5%117.5%

Small sample. 46 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1835.43%±44.3—sample
7d2229.44%±36.4—sample
30d4670.23%±46.8—sample
All4670.23%±46.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Sticker | Reason Gaming | Katowice 2014sticker · high$312480 gems$1,3912,141 gems4.46x
AWP | Desert Hydra (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$312480 gems$9331,435 gems2.99x
AWP | Desert Hydra (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$312480 gems$9331,435 gems2.99x
AWP | Desert Hydra (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$312480 gems$9331,435 gems2.99x
AWP | Desert Hydra (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$312480 gems$9331,435 gems2.99x

Latest dropsnewest first

AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$312480 gems$7.8312.04 gems0.03x
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$312480 gems$7.8312.04 gems0.03x
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$312480 gems$7.8312.04 gems0.03x
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$312480 gems$7.8312.04 gems0.03x
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$312480 gems$7.8312.04 gems0.03x
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$312480 gems$7.8312.04 gems0.03x
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$312480 gems$7.8312.04 gems0.03x
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$312480 gems$7.8312.04 gems0.03x
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$312480 gems$7.8312.04 gems0.03x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,339 (7.49x)