drew 25% no pants on

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1,463.25
2,251 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
38.57%
12 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
12 openings · below min
30 days
12 openings · below min
since tracking started
12 openings · below min
-0.5%39.0%78.5%

Small sample. 12 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d1238.57%±39.5—sample
30d1238.57%±39.5—sample
All1238.57%±39.5—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$1,4632,251 gems$2,3233,574 gems1.59x
AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$1,4632,251 gems$2,3233,574 gems1.59x
★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700$1,4632,251 gems$2,1253,270 gems1.45x

Latest dropsnewest first

SG 553 | Lush Ruins (Factory New)weapon · gray$1,4632,251 gems$0.100.16 gems0.00x
★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700$1,4632,251 gems$2,1253,270 gems1.45x
SG 553 | Lush Ruins (Factory New)weapon · gray$1,4632,251 gems$0.100.16 gems0.00x
SG 553 | Lush Ruins (Factory New)weapon · gray$1,4632,251 gems$0.100.16 gems0.00x
AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$1,4632,251 gems$2,3233,574 gems1.59x
SG 553 | Lush Ruins (Factory New)weapon · graydrew$1,4632,251 gems$0.100.16 gems0.00x
SG 553 | Lush Ruins (Factory New)weapon · gray$1,4632,251 gems$0.100.16 gems0.00x
SG 553 | Lush Ruins (Factory New)weapon · gray$1,4632,251 gems$0.100.16 gems0.00x
SG 553 | Lush Ruins (Factory New)weapon · gray$1,4632,251 gems$0.100.16 gems0.00x
AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$1,4632,251 gems$2,3233,574 gems1.59x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,323 (1.59x)