drew 5% crazy mode

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$65.00
100 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
141.43%
30 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
24 openings · below min
30 days
30 openings · below min
since tracking started
30 openings · below min
-0.5%209.3%419.0%

Small sample. 30 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d24176.76%±241.7—sample
30d30141.43%±194.3—sample
All30141.43%±194.3—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Sticker | ropz (Gold) | Krakow 2017sticker · Ancient$65.00100 gems$1,5602,400 gems24.00x
★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · covert$65.00100 gems$1,1961,840 gems18.40x

Latest dropsnewest first

P90 | Mustard Gas (Well-Worn)weapon · #5e98d9$65.00100 gems$0.100.16 gems0.00x
Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blue$65.00100 gems$0.030.04 gems0.00x
Sticker | Mastermindsticker · High Grade$65.00100 gems$0.070.1 gems0.00x
P90 | Mustard Gas (Well-Worn)weapon · #5e98d9$65.00100 gems$0.100.16 gems0.00x
P90 | Mustard Gas (Well-Worn)weapon · #5e98d9$65.00100 gems$0.100.16 gems0.00x
Sticker | ropz (Gold) | Krakow 2017sticker · Ancient$65.00100 gems$1,5602,400 gems24.00x
Sticker | Mastermindsticker · High Grade$65.00100 gems$0.070.1 gems0.00x
★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · covert$65.00100 gems$1,1961,840 gems18.40x
Sticker | Mastermindsticker · High Grade$65.00100 gems$0.070.1 gems0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,560 (24.00x)