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drew-is-big

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 7 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1,493.05
2,297 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
41.07%
36 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
36 openings · below min
30 days
36 openings · below min
since tracking started
36 openings · below min
10.0%41.3%72.5%

Small sample. 36 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d3641.07%±30.6—sample
30d3641.07%±30.6—sample
All3641.07%±30.6—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear)gloves · legendaryOla$1,4932,297 gems$5,8669,024 gems3.93x
★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$1,4932,297 gems$4,5036,928 gems3.02x
★ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert$1,4932,297 gems$2,3803,661 gems1.59x
★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$1,4932,297 gems$2,3393,599 gems1.57x
★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$1,4932,297 gems$2,3393,599 gems1.57x
AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$1,4932,297 gems$2,3233,574 gems1.56x
AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$1,4932,297 gems$2,3233,574 gems1.56x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$1,4932,297 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$1,4932,297 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$1,4932,297 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$1,4932,297 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$1,4932,297 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumerOla$1,4932,297 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$1,4932,297 gems$2,3393,599 gems1.57x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$1,4932,297 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$1,4932,297 gems$2,3233,574 gems1.56x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$1,4932,297 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $5,866 (3.93x)