DREW KETCHUP LOVER

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1,452.17
2,234 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
81.52%
12 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
12 openings · below min
30 days
12 openings · below min
since tracking started
12 openings · below min
-0.5%81.5%163.5%

Small sample. 12 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d1281.52%±81.1—sample
30d1281.52%±81.1—sample
All1281.52%±81.1—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Karambit | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$1,4522,234 gems$2,6004,000 gems1.79x
AWP | Dragon Lore (Well-Worn)weapon · covertdrew$1,4522,234 gems$2,5323,895 gems1.74x
AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New)weapon · covert$1,4522,234 gems$2,2813,509 gems1.57x

Latest dropsnewest first

P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$1,4522,234 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New)weapon · covert$1,4522,234 gems$2,2813,509 gems1.57x
P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$1,4522,234 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
★ Karambit | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$1,4522,234 gems$2,6004,000 gems1.79x
AWP | Dragon Lore (Well-Worn)weapon · covertdrew$1,4522,234 gems$2,5323,895 gems1.74x
P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$1,4522,234 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$1,4522,234 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$1,4522,234 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$1,4522,234 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $6,793 (4.68x)