Driver
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$118.37
182 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $106.52 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
77.63%
178 openings, odds method
Variance
7.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 17
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
94.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 178 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Factory New)gloves · legendary | 1 in 200 | $4,226 6,502 gems | 19.8% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| ★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 125 | $1,296 1,993 gems | 9.7% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.11× |
| ★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 100 | $671 1,032 gems | 6.3% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.12× |
| ★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 80 | $578 890 gems | 6.8% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.45× |
| ★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 80 | $449 692 gems | 5.3% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.90× |
| ★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 80 | $422 649 gems | 5.0% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.45× |
| ★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary | 23.9% | $66.29 102 gems | 14.9% | 52 | 42.6 | 1.22× |
| ★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary | 30.0% | $62.40 96 gems | 17.6% | 52 | 53.4 | 0.97× |
| ★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary | 40.0% | $39.00 60 gems | 14.6% | 65 | 71.2 | 0.91× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie (Factory New)gloves · extraordinaryBottavious$118182 gems$1,2961,993 gems10.95x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinaryLive @ Kick/JaekCreates$118182 gems$39.0060 gems0.33x
★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary$118182 gems$66.29102 gems0.56x
★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary$118182 gems$66.29102 gems0.56x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $118 | 90.00% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 0.5%extraordinary 99.5%best hit $1,296 (10.95x)